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The Econometer

時間:2024-10-26 07:34:00

FOCAC2018:ProliferatingPartnershipsDuringUncertainTimes

TheoldergenerationinChinacanoftenbeheardaffectionatelyreferringtoAfricansasfeizhouxiongdiorAfricanbrothers.Thistermofendearmentmostlikelyoriginatesfromatimewhentheatmosphereofsolidarityamongdevelopingnationswasbeginningtoemerge,manifestingingatheringsliketheBandungConference,andspurredbyChina鈥檚realizationofhowcrucialAfrica鈥檚supportwouldbetoitsintegrationintotheinternationalcommunity.AfricahaslongheldaspecialplaceinChineseforeignpolicywiththeForumonChina-AfricaCooperation(FOCAC)beingthemostsignificantembodimentsofthis.

ThelastgatheringofthistriennialforumtookplaceinJohannesburgin2015andconcludedwiththeadoptionoftheJohannesburgActionPlan,aroadmapforcooperationbetweenChinaandAfricainthethreeyearsuntilthenextsummit,tobeheldthisyear.

Lookingahead,theFOCACSummitofSeptemberisofparticularsignificancebecauseitcoincideswithkeyshiftsintheglobaleconomyandregionaldynamicsthatpresentanopportunityforbothChinaandAfrica.

Strengtheningglobaldemandunderpinnedbyanall-roundrecoveryofmomentuminthegrowthoftheglobaleconomyisallowingAfricaneconomiestostabilizeandgrowascommoditypricesrise.Giventhecentralrolecommodityrevenuesplayinthevitalityofeconomiesonthecontinent,Africacantakeadvantageoftherecoveringcommodityrevenuestoinvestintheadvancementofbroaderdevelopmentalobjectives.

AresultofthestructuralcharacterofmanyAfricaneconomiesisthattheirsectorialorientationtowardrawmaterialandcommodityexportsandimportsofmanufactureshasgenerated鈥渋mmiserizinggrowth鈥漮nthecontinent.ThekindofeconomicgrowthledbycommoditiesisnotnecessarilybringinggreaterprosperitytoAfricancountries.Thedetrimentaltermsoftradebroughtaboutbythesestructuraldeficiencies,alegacyofextractiveeconomiesestablishedduringthecolonialera,havelongbeenproblematizedbuttherehasbeenlittlesuccessinovercomingthem.ThishasprioritizedtheissueofeconomicdiversificationinmanyAfricancountries.CooperationwithChinahasbeenidentifiedasanimportantavenuethroughwhichtoachievethisinadditiontoexpandedintra-continentaltrade.

TheimportanceoftheFOCAChasbeenrecognizedbymemberstates.TrulyharnessingthepotentialthattheplatformofferswilldependonAfricanplayersdevelopinganacuteChina-awarenessandactivelyfindingwaystousetheFOCACframeworktoaddresstheiruniquechallenges.ChineseplayersmustlikewisecontinuetodevelopanAfrica-awareness,whichwouldentailbuildingthecapacitytonavigateeconomicrelationshipswithcountriesfarsmallerthanitselfsothatthesenseofreciprocityandmutualbenefitistrulyfelt.

Source:NationalBureauofStatisticsofChina

1/SouthSudanJune:ChinaandSouthSudansignedatechnicalcooperationagreementforthemodernizationofstatebroadcastersintheEastAfricannation.Theprojectcostestimatedat$15millionwillenabletheconstructionoftwostateof-the-artbroadcaststudiosandwillalsooffercapacitybuildingforSouthSudanesejournaliststhroughmediaexchanges.

2/EthiopiaJune:Ethiopia鈥檚Chinese-builtEasternIndustryZoneisexpectedtostarttheconstructionofthesecondphaseassoonasdemandsfromforeigncompaniesincrease.Therearecurrently83companiesunderconstructionoroperationalinsidetheindustryzone,ofwhich56havealreadystartedproduction.

3/Kenya&SouthSudanJune:AChinesefirmhaswonthetendertoconstructthefirsttarmacroadthatextendstoSouthSudanfromKenya鈥檚northregion.ChinaNationalAeroTechnologyInternationalEngineeringCorp.hasbeencontractedtoundertaketheconstructionofthe60-kmroadworth$20millioninaregionreferredtoasKenya鈥檚breadbasket.

4/ZimbabweJune:ZimbabweandChina鈥檚TsingshanHoldingGroupsigneda$1-billionMoUforestablishingasteelplantintheMidlandsProvincethatcanproduceupto2milliontonsofsteelperannum.Whenfullyoperational,thisprojectisexpectedtocreate3,000permanentjobsoverthelifeoftheprojectwhichisestimatedat25years.

5/NamibiaJune:NamibianPresidentHageGeingobofficiallyinauguratedtheOshikotoPoliceRegionalHeadquartersandtheOmuthiyaPoliceStationsituatedinthenorthofthecountry.ThefacilitieswereconstructedandcompletedlastyearbyChinaJiangxiInternationalNamibia.

ForeignInvestmentRobustDespiteConcernsOverTrade

InthelastmonthofQ2,theChineseeconomydemonstratedahighlevelofresilience.AsinternationalconcernsfomentoveratradespatwiththeUnitedStates,therenminbi(RMB)fell3.1percentagainstthedollarwithinthemonthofJune,itsbiggestmonthlydropsince1994.Marketsalsoshowedsignsofcaution,astheShanghaicompositeindexfell6.4percentto2,847.42onJune29.Signsofanunderlyingstrengthemerge;however,asforeigninvestorsputheavybuysonRMB-denominateddomesticbonds,causing10-yearyieldstodecreasebelowthe3.5-percentagemark.

ManufacturingActivityReflectsSlowingEconomy

OnthebackofstrongperformanceinMay,China鈥檚manufacturingsectorgrewataslowerrateinJune.WhileMaysawapurchasingmanagers鈥檌ndex(PMI)at51.9,itdroppedto51.5inJune.Thisslumpisattributedtoseveralfactors,includingslowercreditgrowthamidgovernmentcrackdownsoncertaintypesoflending,slowinginternaldemandindicatedbyslowergrowthinretailsales,anduncertaintyaroundexternaldemandwithrisingtradebarriersintheUnitedStates.Furthermore,theemploymentsub-indexindicatesthatChinesefactorieshavelaidoffthehighestamountofstaffsinceJuly2017.Thesefactorsareallindicativeofaslowdownintheeconomy,butthisprocessisgradual.

BRIGetsaBoostinHK

TheThirdBeltandRoadSummitwasheldinHongKongontheJune28,andwasattendedbyover5,000participantsfrom55countries.ThethemeoftheeventwasCollaborateforSuccess.ThesummitservedtocreateanopportunityforexistingpartnerswithintheBeltandRoadInitiativetocollaboratefurtherandtoincreasecooperationbetweennations.VariousMoUsweresignedatthesummit.Thesummitwasusedasaplatformforpartnerstoemergeinnewandexistinginvestmentprojects,bygivingprojectsthemarketingtheyrequiretosucceed.ProjectsbeinginvestedinbyChinaincludethedevelopmentofasmartcityinThailand鈥檚EasternEconomicCorridor.

TheChinAfricaEconometerisproducedbyTheBeijingAxis,aninternationaladvisoryandprocurementfirmoperatinginfourprincipalareas:Procurement,SalesActivation,Capital,andStrategy.Formoreinformation,pleasecontact:KobusvanderWath,,www.thebeijingaxis
   

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